Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

078 
ABPZ20 KNHC 100530
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 9 2026

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Central Pacific (CP93):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast 
of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms and is nearly stationary.  Environmental conditions 
are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical 
depression is expected to form by mid-week as the system begins 
moving west-northwestward or northwestward across the Central 
Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Western East Pacific:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located 
well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula.  Environmental conditions appear favorable 
enough for some gradual development, and a tropical depression could 
form during the next few days while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward to northwestward across the western portion of 
the East Pacific. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Southwest of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula 
are associated with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions 
appear marginally conducive for slow development during the next day 
or two as it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph.  By late 
Tuesday, the system is expected to reach an area of strong 
upper-level winds, ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

There are no tropical cyclones at this time.

No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 10 Aug 2026 08:00:17 GMT